Monday, March 3, 2014

Evaluating Statistical Distributions Reinventing the Future



                   When we use personal and social variables as an analyzable form of data, we can delineate between Opposing Boundary Definitions to be able to make intelligent predictions. However we must also consider the limitations of our processing capacities. Creatively speaking, we are often told not to get ahead of ourselves, NEVER ASUME. We could be splitting a controversial opinion bias. Understanding both extremes of opinions is critical. Young minds may want to look ahead, (So to speak.) Old minds may be caught up in looking behind. But these too are just changing boundary definitions, also subjectively biased. Whenever we are confronted by "Projections," we may be talking fantasy, we may be seeing the inevitable eventuality of truth. Either way, we may be sorting through a series of hypothetically asserted subjunctive speculations. If it isn't happening now, it's still uncertain. All deterministic prognostication has a confidence level that can only be ascertained through verifiable outcomes.

                    Phase states in Physics deal with this whole issue of uncertainty. Schrodinger's Cat is a famous thought experiment where a kitty in a box is trapped with a bomb set to go off when a particle with a set half life decays triggering the bomb or not. Chances are 50%/50% that the bomb goes off, determined by only the uncertainty of that one particle's decay. Until the box is opened there is no way of knowing if the cat still lives or not. As a reduction of the "Phase State" of that subatomic uncertainty of that said particle, this makes for a "Phase State" which includes both the bomb and the cat. Schrodinger was a proponent of the classical physics of wave mechanics and suggested that the resulting (Reductionist) phase state couldn't matter if the cat was obviously either dead or alive when the box is opened. He'd say, "There must be some way to predict the outcome if we are using Classical Physics." The quantum theorists (Heisenberg and others) proved however, that the sub atomic particle state is a statistical probability only, and therefore anything under the control of these uncertainties will also be subject to very same "Statistical Mechanics." In other words even our kitty is both alive and dead simultaneously, until we check the results of this shifting uncertainty occurring between a classically predictable function and it's reducible particularity of simultaneous "Superposition" of states.

                    Steven Hawking has been quoted to say, "I don't care what the nature of reality is, I just want my experiments to work out, proving me to be correct." Much nonsense has been made of this Quantum Superposition Mythos as justification for all kinds of New Age gunk. Nonsense like that "you create your own reality" and "scarcity is an illusion," "and it's all in your own mind." That's not to devalue the importance of having a heathy attitude, but generally our reality is Shared Property, not a magical outcome of some "Superposition of Opportunity," (self fulfilling prophecy.)   And yes, poverty, hardship and loneliness are real. We just have to take responsibility for our own lives whether we have been dealt a "Bad Hand" or not. (Probabilities of randomized personal good or bad fortune.) Blaming yourself for all the difficulties in your life is just as self defeating as is blaming others. If we want to reinvent our future unwritten histories, we are in essence evaluating statistical distributions. We may not be able to always predict the future, (Much less directly create it,) but as is the case with all careers that require speculations, it's advisable to be able to imagine possible probable outcomes.

                    I wish you the best of luck with your personal lives and shared fortunes.