Saturday, April 18, 2015

Evaluating Statistical Distributions Reinventing the Future (+)


                   When we use personal and social variables as an analyzable form of data, we can delineate between Opposing Boundary Definitions to be able to make intelligent predictions. However we must also consider the limitations of our processing capacities. Creatively speaking, we are not to get ahead of ourselves, NEVER ASUME. We could be splitting controversial opinion biases, where everyone is looking at limited information. Understanding both extremes of an opinion is critical. Young minds may want to look ahead, (So to speak.) Old minds may be caught up in looking behind. But these too are just changing boundary definitions, also subjectively biased. Whenever we are confronted by "Projections," we may be talking fantasy, and we may be seeing the inevitable eventuality of truth. Either way, we may be sorting through a series of hypothetically asserted subjunctive speculations. If it isn't happening now, it's still uncertain. All deterministic prognostication has a confidence level that can only be ascertained through verifiable outcomes.

                    Phase states in Physics deal with this whole issue of uncertainty. Schrodinger's Cat is a famous thought experiment where a kitty in a box is trapped with a bomb set to go off when a particle with a set half life decays triggering the bomb or not. Chances are 50%/50% that the bomb goes off, determined by only the uncertainty of that one particle's decay. Until the box is opened there is no way of knowing if the cat still lives or not. As a reduction of the "Phase State" of that subatomic uncertainty of that said particle, this makes for a "Phase State" which includes both the bomb and the cat. Erwin Schrodinger was a proponent of the classical physics of wave mechanics and had suggested that resulting (Reductionist) phase state don't matter. The cat is obviously either dead or alive when the box is opened. He'd say, "There must be some way to predict outcomes, using Classical Physics." The quantum theorists (Heisenberg and others) proved how sub atomic particle states are a statistical probability only, and therefore anything under the control of these uncertainties will also be subject to the very same "Statistical Mechanics." In other words even our kitty is both alive and dead simultaneously, until we check the results of this shifting uncertainty, it's reducible as simultaneous "Superposition" of states. (Shrodinger"s Cat, "Wanted Dead and Alive." Kitty isn't observing the laws of cause and effect.)

                    Steven Hawking has been quoted to say, "I don't care what the nature of reality is, I just want my experiments to work out, proving me to be correct." Much nonsense has been made of confusing this Quantum Superposition Mythos with justifications for all kinds of New Age gunk. Peddled nonsense like, "You create your own reality," and "Scarcity is an illusion" Or ,"It's all in your own head." I don't to devalue the importance of having a heathy attitude, but generally our reality is a Shared Property, and not a magical outcome of a "Superposition of Opportunity," (self fulfilling prophecies are bad medicine.)   And yes, poverty, hardship and loneliness are real. We just have to take responsibility for our own lives whether we have been dealt a "Bad Hand" or not. (Probabilities randomize personal good or bad fortune.) Blaming yourself for all the difficulties in your life is just as self defeating as is blaming everyone else. If we want to reinvent our future histories, we are in essence evaluating statistical distributions. We may not be able to always predict the future, (Much less directly create it,) but as is the case with all careers, this requires speculation, it's advisable to always be able to imagine desired possible outcomes.

                    Best of luck with your personal lives and shared fortunes.

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